Midterm Watch 2026

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Every race

Called against the forecast

Toss-ups

The night, by poll closing

Polls close first in the east, so the night starts with a handful of real clues.

Bellwethers

Toss-up and Lean races in the three earliest closings. They carry the same ring in the timeline.

Closing by closing

Path to a majority

Swing against the last election